NOAA'S 2025 Hurricane Season Forecast
The National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) made public their projections on Thursday, as to how active this coming season may be.
They're calling for:
- 13 to 19 Named systems, out of which-
- 6 to 10, could turn into hurricanes, and out of this number -
- 3 to 5 may be stronger than a category 3
What are the factors for this? El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), sea surface temperatures (SST), and atmospheric conditions.
Warmer water temperatures. Tropical systems need 80 degrees of water temps to develop. The models suggest higher ocean temps this season.
Strong Upper winds known as shear, will NOT be that plentiful. These winds can keep storms from developing or growing stronger
El Niño, which is an above average warming of the Pacific Ocean and helps keep the atmosphere hostile to hurricanes, will NOT be present
Additional moisture out of Africa could provide another ingredient for systems to form
As always follow myself, and the entire weather team On-Air and on-line for the latest happenings in the Tropics.
No comments:
Post a Comment