From NWS Miami:
- Tropical Storm Milton over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is forecast to quickly intensify as it moves east and northeast, and be at or near major hurricane strength when it reaches the west coast of the Florida peninsula mid-week
- Hurricane or tropical storm watches could be issued as early as late today for portions of Florida
- Heavy rainfall leading to possible flooding is expected across South Florida through much of this week. A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area through Thursday morning
- Increasing risk of dangerous storm surge for portions of the Florida Gulf coast, and damaging wind impacts for portions of South Florida from Milton.
Here are your headlines:
- The track may shift northward or southward. Why? A front heading south will dictate Milton's future path. If the front moves fast, then Milton gets nudged farther south. If it slows down... then it will jog northward.
- Keep monitoring as the atmosphere is in constant flux.
- This is why model runs come out many times a day.
- NHC updates the forecast track a minimum of 4 times a day.
If nothing were to change with this system, what can we expect?
Keys:
- All guidance points to south to southwesterly breezes in the Keys peaking near tropical storm force (39 mph w stronger gusts).
- There will likely be a heightened risk of coastal flooding and fast moving squalls.
- It is a bit too early to determine if watches or warnings will be required for the Keys.
Miami Dade & Broward: ALL CITIES
- Heavy rainfall and flooding is expected across South Florida through this week.
- A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area beginning late Sunday morning to Thursday morning.
- Increasing risk of dangerous storm surge and wind impacts for portions of the Florida peninsula
- It is too early to provide specifics on potential impact locations, but the general time frame of storm impacts in South Florida would be late Tuesday through Wednesday.
- All potential impacts are in play at this time with Milton (strong wind, significant storm surge, flooding rainfall, tornadoes).
As of this moment, here are your chances of seeing tropical storm force winds:
- Miami 26%
- Ft. Lauderdale 46%
- All cities west of I-95 could see higher chances
Chances for hurricane force winds (74 mph and above)
- Miami 2%
- Ft. Lauderdale 6%
- All Cities west of I-95 - 5%
Rainfall will be wide spread with anywhere between 6 - 8". This will lead to flooding issues with already saturated grounds.
Please keep monitoring. Many things can & will change with this system which promises to grow stronger.
Questions about shutters:
I recommend when and if Hurricane WATCHES go up for your area, to put them up. You know your property best and how long it may take to put them up.
Stay safe everyone
No comments:
Post a Comment