Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Tuesday Milton SE FL Impacts

Milton loses a bit of it's fury but remains a dangerous system. Per the National Hurricane Center, "Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida".

Satellite Loop


Big changes took place over night. The clear-eye from yesterday is now obscured by clouds. 
The system went through an eye wall replacement cycle . This causes the wind speeds to fluctuate.  Intensity will vary until it moves ashore. 

Presently the strongest winds extend out from the center 30 miles with tropical-storm-force winds fanning outward up to 105 miles.

Headlines 
  • Milton has taken a small jog NE 
  • Later today it should move more in that direction and by Wednesday, it's forecast to move a bit faster. 
  • A front being pushed south, will drag Milton to Florida. This should take the center to west-central Florida by tomorrow night.  
Strong upper winds known as shear, will cause some more weakening but models suggest Milton will remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it reaches the state. 

More recon missions will be underway

SE Florida Impacts


  • NEW - Tropical Storm Warning now in place for Broward & Miami Dade Counties
  • This means that by Wednesday, 39+ mph are EXPECTED 
  • These gusty winds will come and go. A rain band moves in with the 39+ mph winds. Once the band moves out, it's all quiet until the next one arrives. 
  • Milton remains a compact hurricane 
  • The wind field is forecast to grow in size as it approaches Florida and should double in size by the time it makes landfall.  
  • Damaging winds and heavy rainfall will extend well outside the forecast cone. 
  • Mainland South Florida may get 2 - 4+ additional inches of rain with some spots up to 8"
  • The downpours will be intermittent. As the rain bands move over you'll get the wind and rain, then quiet until the next band
  • Winds will increase across South Florida tomorrow with the strongest by nighttime 
  • Tropical Storm Warning also in for the Keys 
  • Milton`s outer bands will push rain in by Wednesday into the Keys, with forecast totals between 2" - 4", with some locations getting up to 7" 
  • The outer bands could also spin up some tornadoes
  • High water is possible up to 3'




For the NW Bahamas
You may get an occasional gust with some rough seas and the potential is there for some heavy rain. Once the system moves across into the Atlantic by Thursday, your winds could pick up as well with the seas getting rough.

Shutters
The ultimate decision is yours as you know your property best. I suggest to put them up when a hurricane watch is issued.

Mobile homes
It is never recommended to ride any tropical system during a storm. Tornadoes can cause damages, and strong gusts may impact the home. It's better er on the side of caution. 
Please stay safe




 

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