Sunday, May 21, 2023

NHC Watching Nearby Disturbance

An area of disturbed weather over the Bahamas has piqued the interest of the National Hurricane Center (NHC).



SATELLITE 
The latest imagery shows a nice comma-shaped pattern, north of the Bahamas with a counterclockwise spin. This is the area NHC is watching.  

Presently, it is causing a large area of showers and storms NE of the Bahamas and across the Mona Passage. It is also generating some strong winds, as well as moderate to rough seas, posing a concern for mariners. These conditions will remain in place through Wednesday.

OUTLOOK



The New 7 Day outlook from NHC suggests the area of disturbed weather is a broad area of low pressure. It is causing some rain and wind a few hundred miles NE of the Bahamas. 

By the end of the weekend or possibly Monday, the atmospheric conditions will be such that further development is not forecast.  NHC is giving it a very low chance for organization. If by some unforeseen situation it does get stronger, it may develop in the yellow area.  

    Formation Potential thru 48 hours    10%

  Formation Potential thru 7 Days     10%

This feature is forecast to move north and not have any impact with land areas. 

For South Florida and the Bahamas, our rains will be highly influenced by the Sea breeze carrying plenty of moisture. This is a typical Rainy Season Pattern. 

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