This weekend South Florida will be impacted by rain from a tropical wave. A wave that may cause downpours and street flooding here, and maybe bigger headaches down the road away from us.
This is the wide Satellite view, starting from the overnight hours to daytime Saturday .
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Along the West Coast of Africa you see a cluster of clouds. This is the newest tropical wave. It has a 20% chance for development over 7 days.
Invest 98L
- Most of the action is in the Central Atlantic, otherwise known as the Main Development Region, or MDR for short.
- Three healthy spins are detected. Of the three, the farthest East is Invest 98L.
- As you know, invest stands for an area NHC would like to INVEST-igate further, 98 is a tracking number ( they go from 90 to 99 and start over again), and "L" stands for Atlantic Basin.
- The broad low is sitting a few hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.
- Presently moving west with a high chance for development.
- If it doesn't develop soon, atmospheric conditions will deteriorate and prevent it from getting its act together.
If it organizes, where may it go?
High pressure is driving the system west. But in a few days, the high will split and the low will look for that gap and start traveling north. Here upper winds and Saharan dust are found. They may spell the end for the low. We will keep monitoring as Atlantic waters are very warm. It could give it a boost.
Invest 99L
- It's Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center.
- Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development during the next day or two
- It's moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
- As of this moment it has a low chance for growth.
If it develops, where may it go?
This low will try to sneak in the same gap left behind by high pressure. However if it's late in the turn, it may head west and impact the islands with plenty of rain. DO NOT worry about the straight black line with the triangles. This is the extrapolation model or the persistence model. It merely suggests if there was nothing impacting the low and remained heading in the present direction, that's where it would go. Chances of that happening are extremely low.
Invest 90L
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| Courtesy Tropical TidBits |
This is a Tropical Wave looking better on satellite imagery Saturday morning. It's located East-Southeast of the Lesser Antilles . The National Hurricane Center has deemed it Invest 90L.
- It's producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
- Some gradual development of this system is possible
- A tropical depression could form during the early and middle parts of next week while it
- moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.
- Moderate chances for development
If it develops, where will it travel?
Models are still trying to figure this one out, but it is worthy of keeping tabs on it. Anytime a system threatens to move across the Caribbean, it has the potential to cause plenty of headaches. Everyone throughout the Lesser & Greater Antilles should monitor it for the next few days until it shows its hand.
Tropical Wave
Clouds and rain across the Bahamas, Cuba, & South Florida are associated with a westward moving tropical wave. Once in the Gulf of Mexico it may try to develop.
- An area of disturbed weather located near the northwestern and central Bahamas is forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico by early next week
- A broad area of low pressure is expected to form.
- Some slow development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form as it moves westward and approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by the middle of next week.
- Medium chance for development
While South Florida may just see some rain from this wave, it's a good reminder we're in hurricane season. Don't let your guard down we still have the most active part ahead.
We'll keep watching.
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